Formula 1 moves on to Mexico City this weekend with Red Bull driver Max Verstappen chasing what would be a record-breaking 14th win of the season, having equalled Michael Schumacher and Sebastian Vettel’s record of 13 last time out in the United States. But what are the odds of that happening?
188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.
The odds for the win
As mentioned, Verstappen notched up his 13th victory from 19 races in the United States Grand Prix, with the Dutchman showing no signs of slowing down after securing his second world drivers’ title.
And the odds are with him to move clear of Schumacher (13 wins from 18 races in 2004) and Vettel (13 wins from 19 races in 2013) at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez, where he has won three of the last four Grands Prix.
Verstappen’s team mate Sergio Perez is next on the list as he aims for what would be a sensational home victory, with Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc the only other driver given realistic odds for the win.
- Max Verstappen 1.57
- Sergio Perez 5.50
- Charles Leclerc 6.00
- Carlos Sainz, Lewis Hamilton 13.0
- George Russell 26.0
- Fernando Alonso, Lando Norris 251
- Alex Albon, Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Pierre Gasly, Sebastian Vettel, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 901
The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying
While Verstappen has dominated in terms of race wins this season, qualifying has been a much more open battleground. Indeed, the runaway champion has claimed ‘only’ five pole positions in 2022, and just two from the last eight events.
As the paddock relocates from Austin to Mexico City, it is Leclerc with the shortest odds for pole, as the Monegasque aims to add to the nine he has already achieved over the course of the campaign.
Verstappen is a close second, given the obvious raw pace of the Red Bull, with Carlos Sainz seen as the next most likely in the other Ferrari – the Spaniard no doubt riding high on confidence after achieving his first dry-weather F1 pole at the Circuit of The Americas a few days ago.
- Charles Leclerc 2.10
- Max Verstappen 2.25
- Carlos Sainz 7.00
- Sergio Perez 10.0
- Lewis Hamilton 21.0
- George Russell 34.0
- Fernando Alonso, Lance Stroll, Sebastian Vettel 101
- Lando Norris 126
- Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon 151
- Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 901
The odds for a podium finish
Unsurprisingly, Verstappen and Leclerc are almost nailed on for a podium finish in the pre-weekend odds, with Perez, Lewis Hamilton and Sainz also viewed as strong contenders.
Hamilton finds himself firmly in the mix after ending a five-race podium-less run at the United States GP – the Mercedes driver exploiting recent updates to add to the six rostrum finishes he bagged earlier in the season.
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With Red Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes sharing the spoils for much of the campaign, Alpine’s Fernando Alonso and McLaren’s Lando Norris are the most likely drivers to upset the established pecking order.
- Max Verstappen 1.25
- Charles Leclerc 1.50
- Sergio Perez 1.75
- Lewis Hamilton 2.20
- Carlos Sainz 2.35
- George Russell 3.20
- Fernando Alonso, Lando Norris 13.0
- Esteban Ocon 34.0
- Daniel Ricciardo, Lance Stroll, Pierre Gasly, Sebastian Vettel 67.0
- Valtteri Bottas 151
- Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Mick Schumacher, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 251
- Nicholas Latifi 601
The odds for fastest lap
Another table Verstappen tops heading to Mexico is the ‘DHL Fastest Lap Award’, having picked up five so far this season, two clear of nearest rivals Leclerc and Perez.
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As such, the current leader is the favourite to claim another this weekend, followed by Leclerc, Perez and Sainz. If this happens, the 2022 fastest lap title will go Verstappen’s way.
- Max Verstappen 2.00
- Charles Leclerc 3.75
- Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez 6.50
- Lewis Hamilton 13.00
- George Russell 15.0
- Fernando Alonso 67.0
- Lando Norris 126
- Esteban Ocon, Lance Stroll, Sebastian Vettel 151
- Daniel Ricciardo 201
- Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 251
What are the odds for which team will take the most points?
Fresh from wrapping up their fifth F1 constructors’ title, and their first since 2013, Red Bull are heavily backed to take the most points away from the Mexico City GP weekend – having also posted a 1-3 finish there in 2021.
But while the main prize is out of reach, the fight for P2 is still very much on, with Ferrari sitting 53 points clear of Mercedes as things stand. Even if the odds are in the Scuderia’s favour, a dramatic points swing cannot be ruled out.
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An equally enthralling scrap is the one for P4 involving Alpine and McLaren – the French team sitting just six points clear. Given the ebbing-and-flowing nature of their battle, the two teams cannot be separated in the points-scoring odds for Mexico.
- Red Bull 1.26
- Ferrari 4.35
- Mercedes 9.00
- Alpine, McLaren 201
- Aston Martin 601
- Alfa Romeo, Alpha Tauri, Haas, Williams 901
The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race
Over the last six races held at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez (the event returning to the F1 calendar in 2015, but absent in 2021 due to the Covid-19 pandemic), three have featured the Safety Car, while three have not.
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For this year’s race, according to the odds, it is more likely that Bernd Maylander will need to make an appearance during the 71-lap encounter.
- Yes 1.48
- No 2.45
Odds correct as of 1334 BST on October 26